Democratic Republic of Iran جمهوری دموکراتیک ایران

The Only Way Forward

کودتای دیگری در راه است!؟

با انتشار گلايه افتخاري از دولت و شخص رئيس جمهور، اسفنديار رحيم مشايي رئيس دفتر رئيس جمهور با وي تماس گرفته و از وي دلجويي كرده است و تاكيد كرده كه شخصا به ديدار افتخاري خواهد رفت اما ظاهرا استاد آواز ايران با اين تماس قانع نشده است.(به نقل از پایگاه خبری فرارو) مشايي همچنين گفته است: «استاد افتخاري سرمايه موسيقي اصيل و ايراني كشور است.»

پس از واقعه دوست داشتنی؟! افتخاری و احمدی نژاد، حال که مردم به این نتیجه رسیده‌اند «برخی را گوش شنیدن ثواب نیست»، ظاهراً در آنسو تصمیم بر این است که آتش این بحث را همچنان روشن نگه دارند.

مشایی که پس از اظهار نظرهای آنچنانی! شدیداً مورد انتقاد اصول‌گرایان و ولایت مداران قرار گرفته بود ظاهراً در سیستم دولت احمدی‌نژاد نقش همزاد دوم را ایفا می‌کند. سخنگویی که حرف دل احمدی‌نژاد را می‌زند و در عین حال فرصت می‌دهد که احمدی نژاد از اینگونه بحث‌ها برائت بجوید. حال مسئله این است: افتخاری -که آبروی خودش را در گرو طرفداری از احمدی‌نژاد گذاشت و با در آغوش گرفتن او خود را در معرض انتقادات فراوان قرارداد- برای احمدی‌نژاد چه باز خورد خطرناکی می‌تواند داشته باشد که مسئولیت پاسخگویی و دلجویی به گردن مشایی افتاده است؟

و یا تهدید افتخاری به خروج از ایران چه معضلی ایجاد می‌کند که مشایی تصمیم به دیدار با او گرفته است؟

آنچه که مسلم است، امروز دولت احمدی‌نژاد با چالش‌هایی بسیار مهمتر از دغدغه‌های یک خواننده روبروست. مشکلات پس از تحریم‌ها و در گیری‌های داخلی طرفداران سیاسی کودتا بیش از آن جدی است که بخواهد نگران مسائلی اینچنین باشد. 

مطمئناً دغدغه فرهنگ برای دولت، صرفاً تا جایی مهم است که ادامه دهنده و پذیرنده باشد. فراموش نکنیم که عمده نگرش و عملکرد دولت احمدی‌نژاد طی سال‌های گذشته بر پروپاگاند گسترده شده بود. اساس دروغگویی دولت نیز بر اساس یک محاسبه ساده بود. بسیاری از ایرانیان یا به اطلاعات دسترسی ندارند و یا با هیجان پذیرش یک افتخار بزرگ اصل دروغ بودن موضوع را فراموش می‌کنند- نمود بارز این مسئله اعلام کشف داروی ایدز بود که امروز بسیاری از ایرانیانی که این مسئله را افتخاری ملی قلمداد می‌کردند از گفتگو در باره آن پرهیز می‌کنند.

این نگرش در مناظره‌ها چندان کار آمد بنظر نرسید و بیش از آنکه یک افتخار، دروغین به مدال‌های حلبی احمدی‌نژادی بیافزاید، او را رسوای بخش بزرگی از جامعه کرد. اما چه چیز باعث می‌شود چنین شیوه به ظاهر ناکارآمدی هنوز مصرف داشته باشد؟

به اعتقاد من، طرح دعوت از خارج نشینان، برگزاری میهمانی‌های سفارتی در خارج از کشور، دعوت از هنرمندان، سخنان مشایی در باب ملی گرایی (علیرغم پیش آگاهی از مخالفت قشر عظیمی از طرفداران بیت و حکومت اسلامی) و حال دلجویی از افتخاری دو هدف عمده را نشانه رفته است.

اول: نشان دهنده یک چهره تلطیف شده‌تر از حکومتی که به کشتار و عدم رعایت حقوق انسانی مشهور گشته است.

دوم: ایجاد بستری مناسب برای انتخابات آتی.

در مورد اول -که چندان هم ناموفق عمل نکرده است- با یک نگاه نه چندان عمیق به باز خورد اعتراضات درمورد شرکت‌کنندگان در همایش ایرانیان خارج از کشور، هنرمندان و افتخاری می‌توان دید که بخشی -هرچند نه بسیار بزرگ- از بدنه مردمی معترضین به حکومت با این شیوه برخرد موافقتی نشان ندادند و با عنوان «همه چیز راسیاسی نکنیم»، مواضع اینچنینی را فرا حکومتی قلمداد کردند. 

اما در مورد دوم، بنظر می‌رسد شمارش معکوس انتخابات آینده و ترس نداشتن جایگزین مناسب و از دست دادن قدرت، به یک دغدغه ویژه در دولت احمدی‌نژاد تبدیل شده است. با وقوع شکاف بین تفکرات اصول گرایان و با توجه به اینکه تنها نقطه پیوند میان اصول گرایان در حال حاضر آیت‌الله خامنه‌ای‌ است؛ این ترس شکل حادتری پیدا می‌کند.

مدتهاست در مورد بیماری آیت‌الله خامنه‌ای صحبت می‌شود و اگر اینهم جزو دروغ‌های کودتا نباشد، نگرانی شرایط حکومت پس از مرگ آیت‌الله خامنه ای می‌تواند برای همه گروه‌های در گیر یک دغدغه جدی باشد.

بخش بزرگی از روحانیت موافق، چندان روی خوشی به شیوه تفکری و نگاه احمدی‌نژادی هیچ وقت نشان نداده است و اگر تاکنون علیرغم اعتراضات گاه و بی‌گاه حرکتی نکرده صرفاً بر اساس اعتقاد به همان نقطه اتصال است. 

در عین حال سپاه و احمدی‌نژاد نیز خیال ندارند آنچه را که با بدنامی فراوان به چنگ آورده‌اند، به این راحتی واگذار کنند. این است که بدنبال یک جانشین مناسب برای احمدی نژاد می‌گردند.

با توجه به احتمال ریزش بسیاری از طرفداران فعلی حکومت به نفع مرجعیت تمامیت خواه، سعی احمدی‌نژادی‌ها این است که باساختن چهره‌ای معتدل، ملی‌گرا و هنر دوست در میان ایرانیان داخل و خارج بستر را برای در دست داشتن حکومت به مدت ۸ سال دیگر آماده کنند. این به نوعی شکل ایرانی الگوی روسی است. کاری که ولادیمیر پوتین پیش از این در مورد دیمیتری مدودف انجام داد و نتیجه بخش هم بود. 

به همین دلیل است که گناهان به مرور، صرفاً پای بیت‌نشین‌ها نوشته می‌شود و دولت از پذیرش مسئولیت ادعاها شانه خالی می‌کند. احمدی نژاد و طیف وابسته به سپاه امیدوارند روند اعتراضات مردمی در طی دو سال آینده به نوعی خستگی و سرخوردگی منتهی شود و در نهایت ایشان مفهوم آزادی را با یک سری امتیازات مقطعی و نه چندان متداوم عوض کنند.

و به همین دلیل است که امروز مشایی نقش مدودف را در فضای اجتماعی و سیاسی ایران ایفا می‌کند. نقشی که چندان هم بی‌ثمر نبوده است

Khodnevis

Filed under: Hojjatieh, iran election, Iran News, Iranian protests, revolution, ایران iran, ,

Khamenei reinstates Ayatollah Jannati as head of the Guardian Council

ICANA reports that on July 16, in a decree, Khamenei has reinstated three theologians to Iran’s Guardian Council (GC).

The Leader reinstated Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati, Ayatollah Gholam Reza Rezvani and Ayatollah Mohammad Reza Modarresi Yazdi to the Guardian Council on Thursday.

Under the Iranian Constitution, the Council is comprised of 12 members — six theologians aware of the present needs and issues of the day who are selected by the Leader and six jurists specialized in different areas of law who are nominated by the Judiciary chief and approved by the Parliament.

The body is tasked with ensuring that all pieces of legislation passed by the country’s Parliament are fully compatible with the criteria of Islam and the Constitution.

In a letter to the Majlis speaker, Judiciary Chief Ayatollah Sadeq Amoli Larijani nominated five jurists on Wednesday, three of whom will be elected by the parliament as the members of the Guardian Council.

Due to the fact that the term of office for three members of the Guardian Council will draw to an end on July 16, hereby the names of Mohammad Salimi, head of the branch 31 of the Supreme Court; Ahmad Beigi Habib-Abadi, advisor to the Judiciary chief; Mohammad Reza Alizadeh, the current member of the Guardian Council; Mohammad Hadi Sadeqi, a faculty member of Shiraz University; and Siyamak Rahpeik, head of the Judicial Faculty in Tehran, are submitted to the parliament to choose three from among them, the letter reads.

Interestingly, Gholamhossein Elham, the spokesman for the Council is not on Judiciary Chief Sadeq Larijani’s list.  His term has ended, and it looks like he has been thrown overboard.  He has publicly accused Ayatollah Rafsanjani of trying to “cut off” Ayatollah Khamenei from leadership.  He also claimed that former President Mohammad Khatami has always aimed at “crossing over the Islamic system.”   In January, speaking to citizens in Qom he said  Rafsanjani had repeatedly tried to exclude Ayatollah Khamenei from leadership and “take over the system and the Revolution through the executive branch of the government.”  Mr. Elham is a close associate of Mesbah Yazdi, member of the Haghani inner circle (Hojjatieh) and a supporter of Ahmadinejad.

The Guardian Council is in charge of vetting election candidates for presidency, Parliament and the Assembly of Experts. Ensuring the compatibility of the legislation passed by Parliament with the criteria of Islam and the Constitution is among other duties of the council.

Filed under: Ayatollahs, Guardian Council, Haghani circle, Hojjatieh, Iran News, Iranian protests, Majlis, revolution, ایران iran, ,

Administration Supporters Seeking Islam Without Clergy

Roozonline – While protests against last year’s presidential elections have created divisions between the government and protesters, and as political forces have reorganized themselves along new fault lines, news reports point to increasing divisions among the Principalists, the ideologue group that is in power. In the latest incident of this sort, Morteza Nabavi, the editor-in-chief of the conservative Resalat daily, warned against the “emergence of a deviant faction within the Principalists” that support Ahmadinejad, and other Principalist group that strives to turn Ahmadinejad into a “Putin” [a reference to the former Russian President who after two presidential terms openly supported Dmitry Medvedev to succeed him and then assumed the position of Prime Minister himself].

Concern about Ahmadinejad’s supporters is not a new phenomenon. Much discussion existed about him and his supporters since his first days in office in 2005. The most important discussions revolved around ayatollah Mesbah Yazdi, one of Ahmadinejad’s most important supporters and his spiritual god father, who has been often accused of vying for more power (especially since Mesbah Yazdi ran for a seat in the Assembly of Experts in 2006 on a separate slate.) Mesbah Yazdi’s power has been on the rise ever since.

Perhaps that’s why a Principalist blogger writes, “Mesbah is the behind-the-scenes threat against ayatollah Khamenei. The supreme leader has been gradually moving toward the respectful dismissal of Ahmadinejad while at the same time not wanting to leave the field entirely to Ahmadinejad and Mesbah by fully eliminating the Greens. Ahmadinejad kissed Mr. Khamenei’s hands in 2005 but not in 2009, an  indication of the direction in their relations. Publications like Ansar News refer to Mesbah as ‘Imam Mesbah,’ and lately claimed, that ‘serving Mesbah is serving the hidden Imam.’ Visit the Ansar News website and read it yourselves.”

Characterizing the “Green Movement” as a side distraction, the blogger continues, “While pure and clean Basij forces and supporters of the supreme leader are spending their energy to fight the conspiracy leaders [a reference to Mir-Hossein Mousavi and Karoubi], Imam’s family and even grand ayatollahs, ayatollah Mesbah is targeting the supreme leader’s last remaining sources of power in an effort to capture the post and we are focusing all our efforts to suppress the so-called green students. One by one, Mesbah first took Hashemi Rafsanjani away from the supreme leader, then the Imam’s family, then the three conspiracy leaders, who, like it or not, are strong personalities in the regime, and recently weakened the Majlis while pretending to defend the supreme leader. The Basiji youth must be careful. Mesbah is occupying Mr. Khamenei’s post.”

The Principalists are already worried about the eleventh presidential election in 2013, in which Ahmadinejad does not qualify to run for a third term. Amir Mohebian, an editor of Resalat daily and a right wing strategist, wrote, “It is possible that Mr. Ahmadinejad would assume a more influential role in the upcoming presidential election and even before that, in the Majlis election. It is even possible that the Putin model is chosen, meaning that Mr. Ahmadinejad would bring forward a candidate close to himself as the next president.”

Filed under: Ahmedinejad, Ayatollahs, Basij, Expediency Council, Hojjatieh, iran election, Iran News, Iranian protests, Majlis, Rafsanjani, revolution, ایران iran, , , ,

موسوی:امروز خرافات در خدمت فساد سازمان یافته قرار گرفته است/ Mousavi:Today superstitions are being used for organized corruption

پارسى

Mir Hossein Mousavi in a meeting with a group of members of the Central Council of youth and academic branch of National Trust party (Mehdi Karroubi’s party) emphasized on the importance of political parties at this time and also warned about the influence of superstitions in the general management of the country.

The courage and the unveiling of issues by Mr. Karroubi have been very effective in spreading awareness

Mir Hossein Mousavi at the beginning of this meeting thank Karroubi for his role in this national movement and said: “Karroubi’s courage and the unveiling of issues by him have very effective role in spreading awareness and the movement. I hope that this role strongly continues. Karroubi’s resistance has vital importance for the continuation of the Green Movement.”

Mousavi then discussed the role of political parties after the revolution and said: “From the very first days of the revolution there has been a thought that was against political parties and organizations. People’s bad experience with regards to political parties in the Constitutional era has exacerbated this cynicism.”

One of the characteristics of Martyr Ayatollah Beheshti was his opposition against monologue and one party system

Mousavi added: “Alongside these cynical views there were positive thoughts as well that Martyr Ayatollah Beheshti’s view was on top of them. He believed in partisan and organized activities and tried very hard for this matter. There were impressive results as outcome of these activities. One of Martyr Ayatollah Beheshti’s characteristics was his opposition against monologue and one party system.”

Mir Hossein Mousavi by expressing sorrow for existence of negative views toward political parties and organizations and even small grassroots organizations in the recent years emphasized: “ The recent actions against the two main reformist parties of the country (Islamic Iran Participation Front and Mojahedin of Islamic Revolution) has roots in the same negative view toward political parties. Of course these days following the suppression that was enforced, the importance of political parties and organizations is being felt more than before.”

Standing for the right of forming and maintaining political parties is more vital than ever

Mousavi said: “Standing for the right of forming and maintaining political parties is more vital than ever. When the discussion of full and comprehensive implementation of the constitution is raised one of the principles is the clear view on the freedom of political parties and organizations, for wither political parties or unions”

Mousavi in another part of his remarks said: “The political parties must be advocates for freedom and right of all the people and if possible should merge together to create a more comprehensive organization.”

Today superstitions are being used for organized political and economical corruptions

Mir Hossein Mousavi in another part of his remarks pointed to the issue of superstitions and said: “Today superstitions are being used for organized political and economical corruptions. Dissolving the Management and Planning and Organization, the sensitivity to the key phrase of “Development” and putting behind the five-year development programs all are signs of the spread of superstitious thoughts.”

Charity-type economy has created immense chaos in developing rational processes

He iterated: “A true Shia is always and everyday awaiting the return of Imam Mehdi but also at the same time plans for the next thousand of years. Today the charity-type economy and arbitrary actions have created immense chaos in developing rational processes.”

According to Mir Hossein Mousavi, the elimination of a vast group of experienced managers who believed in planning and scientific management is related to this radical superstitious ideology.

He pointed out the comments Ahmadinejad made a while ago and how they are linked to superstitions and said: “According to this view, the US has come to Iraq not because of oil or geopolitical or strategic reasons but rather has come to prevent Imam Mehdi’s return. What kind of disaster in the foreign policy, governing with this ideology can create? Won’t Turkmenchay style treaties be the inevitable result of such view?”

At the end of his remarks, Mir Hossein Mousavi spoke of the role of Imam Khomeini in ending 2500 years of monarchy and said: “In a time that there was unprecedented pressure to prevent women from participating in elections, he (Imam Khomeini) bluntly and clearly confronted and said that how could it be possible to deprive half of the population from being involved in their own destiny.”

Filed under: Haghani circle, Hojjatieh, iran election, Iran News, Iranian protests, Iranian University Protests, Iranian workers protest, Karroubi, revolution, میرحسین موسوی خامنه Mousavi, ایران iran, , ,

Mesbah Yazdi’s Danger for Khamenei

Mohtashamipour’s Third Warning About the Mesbahiyeh Cult
 
Roozonline – A senior member of the reformist clerical group Assembly of Combatant Clergy [Majma Rohaniyoon Mobarez] Ali Akbar Mohtashamipour, warned about the increasing power of hardline cleric Mohammad-Taghi Mesbah Yazdi and his disciples, noting, “The Mesbahiyeh cult, which I have been warning about for years, is not sitting idle; this is a very dangerous and violent group that won’t show mercy to anyone, neither to the Imam, nor to ayatollah Khamenei. They are using him as a tool to reach their goals, and when they accomplish that, they would destroy the supreme leader too.”

He added, “I am certain that Mr. Mesbah Yazdi does not believe in the supreme leader. Mr. Mesbah did not believe in the Imam, and after the revolution, he was not present in the war, or in other positions to help the Imam. Why do you think he believes in ayatollah Khamenei?”

This is Ali Akbar Mohtashamipour’s third warning about the influence of the “Mesbahiyeh cult” in Iranian power structure. He had warned before in 1385 and 1387 about the gradual infiltration of Meshab Yazdi and his close disciples into sensitive power centers in Iran.

Mohtashamipour, who was himself close to revolutionary founder ayatollah Khomeini, has accused Mesbah of seeking to strip the Islamic republic from its republican core and “popular sovereignty.” Describing the Mesbahiyeh cult’s views, he said, “The Mesbahiyeh cult is extremely restrictive against women, the youth, students, journalists, and internal politicians. We don’t see anytime during Imam’s life when he accused the Iranian youth of being heretics; or to refer to students as secular, materialistic, and egotistical.”

Mohtashamipour revealed that he has warned the Islamic Republic supreme leader ayatollah Khamenei during a face-to-face meeting about Mesbah Yazdi’s increasing influence, adding, “I still believe that the danger posed by the Mesbahiyeh cult for the revolution and the Islamic Republic regime is much stronger than the one posed by many other groups and factions. God forbid, one day it will official wage war against the Islamic Republic and the person of the supreme leader.”

Despite opposition from many figures close to ayatollah Khomeini, including ayatollah Tavassoli, Mehdi Karoubi, Mousavi-Tabrizi, Mohammad Khatami, and even verbal clashes between Hashemi Rafsanjani and Mesbah Yazdi over the latter’s promotion of violence against political opponents, and Mesbah Yazdi’s clear remarks about the insignificance of popular votes and the divine sovereignty of the supreme leader, Mesbah Yazdi’s disciples have advanced so far into the Iranian power structure that his supporters and former students now occupy sensitive posts, particularly in the Islamic Passdaran Revolutionary Guards Corps, Basij and the police.


Filed under: Ayatollahs, Haghani circle, Hojjatieh, iran election, Iran News, IRGC, revolution, Revolutionary Guards, ایران iran, , ,

روانبخش:هاشمی بدون شک تا 6ماه دیگر از صحنه سیاست کشور کنار خواهد رفت Rafsanjani will be gone in six months

For Farsi  rahesabz

Qasem Ravanbakhsh said he believes the elimination of Ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani from the political scene was ‘not something out of reach.’

The editor-in-chief of Parto Sokhan, a publication affiliated with the institute managed by Ayatollah Mohammad Mesbah-Yazdi, added, “But Agha [term used to refer to Iran’s Leader] is against eliminating people from the political scene of the country or else it is not that implausible to omit him.”

“But we believe there is no longer a need for revolutionary forces to omit Rafsanjani as he will omit himself from the political scene of the country,” he told Haghighat news.

“If you look at it no one restricted Rafsanjani from leading the Friday prayers, rather he himself deprived himself of this divine blessing because he knew that the people would no longer follow him in prayer,” he claimed.

“Rafsanjani always takes stances according to the political weather forecast of the country. Whenever there is to be a meeting of the Assembly of Experts or at the time of electing a new [AE] presiding board he adopts stances close to that of the Leader and immediately afterward he becomes close with the heads of the Green Movement and the Reformists.”

“This is evident to and obvious for the members of the Assembly of Experts and the Iranian nation and within the next six months he will be banished from the political scene of the country.”

“The Reformists and the Principlists have no trust in Rafsanjani because he is only after his own interests and has always adopted stances according to the political weather forecast [of the country] and his own interests.”

English translation from Tehran Bureau

Filed under: Haghani circle, Hojjatieh, iran election, Iran News, revolution, ایران iran,

محتشمی‌پور: پشت سر تمام فتنه‌هایی که رخ داده، انجمن حجتیه را می‌بینم

parlemannews

Filed under: Ahmedinejad, Haghani circle, Hojjatieh, iran election, Iran News, ایران iran, , , , ,

سلحشور:حكمرانی فرقه مشائیه برفرهنگ

ayandenews

Filed under: Ahmedinejad, Hojjatieh, iran election, Iran News, Iranian protests, revolution, ایران iran, ,

طائب:دولت احمدی نژاد مقدمه ظهور امام زمان است

Irangreenvoice

Filed under: Ahmedinejad, Haghani circle, Hojjatieh, iran election, Iran News, Iranian protests, IRGC, revolution, Revolutionary Guards, ایران iran, , ,

Is the Hojjatieh in “Check?”

Internal jousting between factions of the Islamic Republic continued as hardline member of the Guardian Council, Gholamhosein Elham accused the moderate cleric Hashemi Rafsanjani of trying to “cut off” Ayatollah Khamenei form leadership. He also claimed that former President Mohammad Khatami has always aimed at “crossing over the Islamic system.”

Gholamhosein Elham, who was speaking to a group of Qom citizens, gave examples of how he felt Ayatollah Rafsanjani had repeatedly tried to exclude Ayatollah Khamenei from leadership and “take over the system and the Revolution through the executive branch of the government.”

Mr. Elham is a close associate of Mesbah Yazdi, member of the Haghani inner circle (Hojjatieh), and sits along side the dominant members of the powerful extremist Gaurdian Council which includes, Ahmad Janati (Chairman of the council and Co-founder of the Haghani schools). 

 Rafsanjani has been the main target of the Hojjatieh, even as far back as the 2005 election, as he is the biggest obstacle in their bid to eventually remove the “republic” element from Iran’s system, and realize their dream for a wholly “Islamic Iran.”  Rafsanjani still wields considerable influence and commands allegiance by many of the power brokers and clerics.  Without him, the system becomes extremely vulnerable, and ripe for a complete takeover.  If Khamenei has inked a deal with, or has come to an “understanding” with Rafsanjani in a desperate bid to unite the regime, it is evident that the Hojjatieh is fighting back.  One must consider, after months of relative silence, Rafsanjani would not rejoin the chess match if he did not at least hold the position of “Check.”  What remains to be seen is,  if in fact a deal has been made, how far is the Hojjatieh willing to go, and exactly how much support do they command.  Stay tuned.

For more on Gholamhosein Elham’s remarks:  Radiozamaneh

Droi

Filed under: Ayatollahs, Guardian Council, Haghani circle, Hojjatieh, iran election, Iran News, Rafsanjani, ایران iran, , ,

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A special note we would like to share with the brave and beautiful women of Iran; You have shown extraordinary courage, passion, pride, humility and humanity in the face of great injustice. The world has taken notice and we are all humbled by your strength and determination. If you are the future, then we all are comforted by how bright it will shine.

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