Democratic Republic of Iran جمهوری دموکراتیک ایران

The Only Way Forward

Rafsanjani to step down from all his positions if Karroubi is arrested. Could the Haghani Circle be completed?

rafsanjaniKhamenei1According to the website Etemadelli, Ayatollah Rafsanjani is reportedly saying that if Mehdi Karroubi is arrested, he will step down from his positions on the powerful Experts Council and Expediency Council.  This seems to be good news for Ahmedinejad and his allies, which have been trying to marginalize all the powerful clerics that disagree with their policies.  Another reason Ahmedinejad would love to see Rafsanjani go, is that Rafsanjani is the head of the two powerful bodies mentioned above.  His exit would mean leadership change in the councils.  First, the Experts Council, which would probably thrust Ayatollah Mesbah Yazdi into the leadership postion, Ahmedinejad’s spiritual leader and one of the main architects of the stolen election.  Second, Ayatollah Jannati would probably take over the leadership of the Expediency Council.  He is currently head of the powerful Guardian Council and Co-founder of the Haghani schools along with Mesbah Yazdi.  This would give Ahmedinejad and company total control of the country.

yazdiThe only reason Mehdi Karroubi probably hasn’t been arrested to this day, is likely this threat to resign by Rafsanjani.  It has been reported elsewhere that Khamenei has issued the arrest for Karroubi a couple of weeks ago.  The delay could mean that Khamenei knows if Rafsanjani leaves, many of the conservative clerics and possibly conservatives in general would separate from this government  all together and that would leave Khamenei out on a limb.  He would basically be impotent and be puppeted by Ahmedinejad, the Haghani’s and the IRGC.  This would also leave Mesbah Yazdi as the probable successor to Khamenei, should his health take a turn for the worse, or more ominously, meet an untimely demise.  The Haghani Circle would be complete.  What remains unclear, is why haven’t Ahmedinejad and Co. arrested Karroubi yet, they surely want to.  The answer will probably be forthcoming this week, as Qods day approaches.

DROI 

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Filed under: Ahmedinejad, Ayatollahs, Guardian Council, iran election, Iran News, Karroubi, Rafsanjani, ایران iran, , , , , , , , , , ,

Video: Protest in Qom

In the holy city of Qom, people gathered in front of Grand Ayatollah Saneei’s office last night after his  strong speech for the Qadr night ceremony and showed their protest to the current events.

 

Filed under: Ayatollahs, iran election, Iran News, میرحسین موسوی خامنه Mousavi, ایران iran, , , , , ,

مسیرهای هفتگانه راهپیمایی روز قدس Qods day rally routes

Quds Day Poster

 

 

 http://tinyurl.com/lq332x

http://tinyurl.com/rxylnf

Filed under: iran election, Iran News, Karroubi, میرحسین موسوی خامنه Mousavi, ایران iran, , , , , ,

دستور حکومت برای بایکوت خبری کروبی و موسوی

http://tinyurl.com/nkjvvr

Filed under: iran election, Iran News, Karroubi, میرحسین موسوی خامنه Mousavi, ایران iran, , , , , , ,

Khamenei lays down the gauntlet

KhameiniIn his much anticipated Friday Prayer Sermon, Ayatollah Khamenei lifted the veil and revealed with much more clarity than previous statements on where he and his regime stand on many of the key issues regarding reform leaders, the regime forces, system tolerance and rebellion.  Of course, also threatened citizens not to abuse Qods Day for protesting.  Believing that he is following in the footsteps of Imam Ali and Ayatollah Khomeini, he said that he has been trying to guide all involved in these disputes, but that some refuse this guidance and are trying to damage the system.  The system is strong and it will fight back harshly. 

Here are some excerpts that we think are of most import:

 

“From the beginning of the revolution, as we were all together with each other, differences emerged.  Imam Khomeini did not deal with all these the same way, same as Ali.  Imam Khomeini first tried to guide them.  There were different people in the government back then.  There were people from the old bureaucracy, there were people who had just joined the government and then there were those who were using terror and protests to achieve their objectives.   He dealt with them all differently.”


He appears to be saying that he has been trying to guide those involved, and that they are not all on the same level.  They have and will be dealt with differently.  The reference to terror and protests seems to be pointed at Mousavi and Karroubi.

 

“These differences were emerged.  Some of them resulted in debates, but some became conflicts.  To those who were enemies of the religion, Imam Khomeini said that he would come to them personally.  But when came the time that some wanted to force wrong ideas upon the system, Imam Khomeini hit back firmly.”


Reference  to force wrong ideas must mean reformist ideas and that in following Khomeini’s path justifies the severe crackdown.

 

“Now those who are after personal gains, try to make it look as if they’re seeking something else.  But that’s when they become enemies of the system.  If someone has a different idea but does not try to attack the system, the system is fine with them.  Political ideologies that are different; we’re fine with them, as long as they don’t try to force it upon the system.  It’s not about having different ideas, but about attacking the Islamic system.  This what the system will fight against.”

 

Referencing “personal gain,”  We suspect he means Mir Hossein Mousavi and reform.  The regime  views reform as anathema to the Islamic system and a threat to its very existence.  Although YOU can have your ideas, just don’t question OURS.

 

However when some come up with entirely different foundations to rest the system upon, which is dangerous.  So long as they work inside the framework of the system as we said, so long as people don’t resort to violence, don’t lie or create tension, the system will not attack.  The system will tolerate them if they have a different opinion.   However, if some people comes with new pillars for the system and create insecurity for people, then the system needs to deal with them harshly.”

 

Referencing people in the first part of the statement, is most likely directed at protesters in an attempt to keep them in their homes and off the streets.  The second part, referencing some people, obviously directed at Mousavi , perhaps even Khatami and alike.  This probably means there will be arrests soon.

 

“We say people should have the right to be defended if they have been slandered or humiliated, then the system also has the right to defend itself.  Some say since the system is political, it should not defend itself.  This is not right.  Thus, the answer to any attacks on the system is going to be harsh.  But having a different opinion – when it doesn’t come with slander and lies , will be tolerated by the system.”

 

We believe he is saying much here.  First, many in the establishment have criticised the security forces and their leaders for their recent statements that they have every right to be involved in the politics as this is a very sensitive time.  Khamenei seems  not only to defend their position, but reassert it.  Second, we believe the reference to “slander and lies” is specifically targeting Mehdi Karroubi and “answering attacks on system is going to be harsh,” is a clear sign that the arrest of Mousavi is imminent. 

 

“Quds Day is for the Palestinians.  It is a show of unity of Iranians.  Be cautious, so that no one could use this day to create differences and rifts between us.  They couldn’t break our unity before and they cannot now.”


Here he seems to be trying to give himself distance from the violence  that will surely be inflicted on the people on Qods Day if they dare protest.  Although, anyone who protests will be seen as creating “differences” and “rifts” and “They couldn’t break our unity before and they cannot now,” obviously referencing the reason they couldn’t and will not, Basij and security forces. 

To sum up the sermon  in our view, we believe he has laid down the gauntlet;  Mousavi and Karroubi at minimum will be arrested soon (probably house arrest if history is any indication), the reform movement will no longer be tolerated and the purging will continue, security forces are integral to the survival of the system therefore, they have every right to inject themselves wherever and whenever needed, and lastly, protests and rebellion will be crushed.

 

Note:  Although we watched, listened and took notes to the speech ourselves, we used excerpts from the transcript of the website Anonymous Iran for our analysis.  Read the full transcript of Khamenei’s sermon courtesy of Anonymous Iran

Filed under: Ayatollahs, iran election, Iran News, ایران iran, , , , , ,

Video: روز قدس / روز سبز — فیلم ازاتوبان نیایش تهران

Tehran Highway Qods day invite

 “Qods Day, Green Day”

 

Filed under: iran election, Iran News, میرحسین موسوی خامنه Mousavi, ایران iran, , , , ,

Sazegara proposes some suggestions for Qods day demonstrations

From Student Information Center September 9th newsletter:

groups.google.com/group/student-information-center/
student.information.center@gmail.com

Mohsen Sazegara released his video for Wednesday. He warned about the plans for Day of Qods, saying that the government might cancel the demonstrations. He said the ideal case for the government is to prevent people from attending the
demonstrations by creating fear, and recalled that they will not achieve their goal if millions of people attend it. He listed proposed suggestions regarding the Day of
Qods as follows:
1. Visiting streets assigned for demonstration before Friday to get familiar with the environment
2. Determining suitable and safe locations to record videos and pictures prior to the demonstration day
3. Carrying signs of the movement and images of the martyrs
4. Driving personal cars on streets
5. Forming and walking in groups of at least 20 people- holding hands (as in chains) to form united groups
6. On-time attendance in the demonstration
7. Preventing protesters being arrested by meddling and being present in the location (of their arrest)- talking to the police, lying down in front of police cars, etc

Audio file of Sazegara’s remarks is attached to this newsletter.

Filed under: iran election, Iran News, ایران iran, , ,

Mir Hossein Mousavi میر حسین موسوی: Mousavi’s statement #12 (with full English translation) – بیانیه شماره 12 مهندس موسوی (بسیار مهم)ا

Source: کلمه

Translated by: Translation Team

In the name of God, the Compassionate and the Merciful

The news of arrests of our dear brothers Dr. Seyyed Alireza Beheshti and Morteza Alviri, heads of the special committee investigating the abuse of victims of the recent events, and General Moghaddam head of the Veterans’ Committee of my election campaign, have created a wave of shock and ambiguity in [the hearts of] those faithful to the Islamic establishment. They have been imprisoned while they are only guilty of following the revolution path, defending the serving of justice for the bloods that were unjustly shed and helping the families of the innocents that were imprisoned after the election. They are now in prison while those responsible for the recent disasters are free and the authorities are claiming that they will surely investigate the committed crimes. Are you going to do this by destroying the evidence of the crimes and imprisoning those who were following up on the victims’ rights?!

People’s dignities are protected in their children. Now people are asking those who claim to guard the Islamic Republic that how they honoured the respect of the family of the innocent martyr of the revolution, Ayatollah Dr. Beheshti?

People of Iran!


It is obvious that your efforts to restore peace to the society are not going to be responded wisely. Dangerous days are ahead. Arresting individuals like Dr. Beheshti is a sign that forecasts more dangerous events. But the evil is doomed and what benefits people will remain. Maintain your calm and awareness. The new series of events that have started, same as the other pathetic actions these days, won’t bring anything for your opponents but damage. Be careful not to let them provoke you and while destroying themselves not to harm your home and country.

I specially offer my condolences for the defamation of the innocent Beheshti to the children of that martyr, his students, followers, admirers and all devotees of the revolution and Islam; and pray to God that this sorrow which has been created in the hearts of our people would be compensated by enduring the honour of this family.

Mir Hossein Mousavi
September 9,2009

 

For farsi click here…http://tinyurl.com/mlysgv

Filed under: iran election, Iran News, میرحسین موسوی خامنه Mousavi, ایران iran, , , ,

Ex-IRGC cmdr, Mousavi aide arrested

Fararu | September 9, 2009

Mohammad Ozlati-Moqaddam, a former IRGC commander and head of the veteran’s faction of Mir Hossein Mousavi’s campaign, was arrested at his home.

Ozlati-Moqaddam, who formerly served in the IRGC political bureau alongside Hossein Shariatmadari and Hossein Safar-Harandi, was arrested on Tuesday.

Officers went to his residence and arrested him after searching his home.

Ozlati-Moqaddam was also once in charge of the defense ministry’s aviation exhibition.

Filed under: iran election, Iran News, میرحسین موسوی خامنه Mousavi, ایران iran, , , , ,

Alireza Beheshti and Morteza Alviri arrested

ali reza beheshtiIn a move to intimidate reform leaders to stand down, security officials arrested Mir Hossein Mousavi’s senior aide Alireza Beheshti.  And in a separate incident, they arrested a senior aide to Mehdi Karroubi, Morteza Alviri.

It appears to be a warning to Mousavi and Karroubi in advance of the Quds day ceremonies that will be starting on Sept. 18, in which the two men are calling on Iranians to take part.  The regime seems to be preparing to  arrest the two leaders if they don’t backdown.

Mohammad Beheshti1The arrest of Alireza Beheshti in particular could in fact backfire on the regime.  He is the son of the late Ayatollah Mohammad Beheshti, a leading figure of the Revolution, one of the main architects of the Constitution and the first head of the Islamic Republics judicial system.  He was assasinated along with more than 70 others when a bomb exploded at a party conference in 1981.  He is revered by many in the establishment, and in particular, members of the clergy.

DROI

Filed under: Ayatollahs, iran election, Iran News, Karroubi, میرحسین موسوی خامنه Mousavi, ایران iran, , , , , , ,

Our perserverance is our sword, Our unity is our shield, AZADI… is our destiny!

Brave Women Of Iran

A special note we would like to share with the brave and beautiful women of Iran; You have shown extraordinary courage, passion, pride, humility and humanity in the face of great injustice. The world has taken notice and we are all humbled by your strength and determination. If you are the future, then we all are comforted by how bright it will shine.

The One Who Wishes To Move A Mountain, Must Start By Removing Stones

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